may 20, 2019 tornado bust

Much of the Texas Panhandle and nearly all of Oklahoma dodged a serious bullet. Simultaneously, heavy rains from severe thunderstorms flooded roads and houses and triggered water rescues. Eleanor Bowles was discovered dead by her son around 5:30 p.m . EF2 tornado, part of a local tornado outbreak around the DFW metro. Particularly photogenic low-precipitation barberpole supercell. Cyclic tornadic supercell that produced 17 tornadoes up to EF4 across northwest Iowa. Particularly photogenic tornadoes from a rather atypical cold core-like setup for the area. The tornado probabilities on the watch were astounding: greater than 95% chance of two or more tornadoes; 90% chance of one EF2+ tornado. On Monday, more than 20 tornadoes developed across four states in the southern Great Plains, producing pockets of considerable damage throughout Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas and Missouri. The next morning I woke up and met up with my chase partners. Drawing on my earlier research days attempting to grow mathematically simulated, intense thunderstorms on a Cray supercomputer, I can attest to the nonlinearity of the atmosphere: Very slight changes in the thermodynamic environment of a storm can have disproportionately large profoundly large impacts on the response of cloud systems, most notably the vigor and depth of cloud updrafts. ET, May 23, 2019 They very much hoped I'd be scared straight to the point of wanting to cancel the trip. While the rest of my chase group went to sleep, I stayed up until the new SPC day one outlook. An outbreak occurred overnight on October 20, 2019. Monday May 20, 2019 was a high risk day in Oklahoma. Particularly photogenic EF3 tornado that killed two teens driving. One-hundred and five of 2019's . Sure enough, the storm to the west seeded our storm and undercut it with outflow. It even smells different, although Im not quite sure I can put my finger on what thats about. 1999 (145 tornadoes) was the previous record year in the Sooner State and included the destructive May 3, 1999 outbreak including the F5 Oklahoma City metro tornado. At this point, we assumed that the storm would recycle and produce another, larger tornado. March 11, 2019, 9:20 PM Tornado wreaks havoc in northern Michigan community. Rather than discussing that, lets talk a little about how we did. However, outbreak forecasts can be challenging too. RAP soundings will often display saturation aloft that masks otherwise drier profiles near convection. This tornado family killed 65 people, leveled large portions of multiple towns along its path, and along with another tornado this day, stirred controversy over workplace preparedness. The meteorological ingredients (instability, wind shear, lifting mechanisms) were certainly in place to produce numerous tornadoes, flooding, and hail. Very long-tracked EF3 tornado that lasted over an hour and a half. While the threat level was obviously apparent given the impressive parameters modeled to be in place over the moderate risk area, the excitement began to truly build in earnest when the extended range High Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) model showed a 36-hour forecast that featured what seemed like an army of likely tornadic supercell thunderstorms in a nearly pristine thermodynamic and kinematic environment. A sequence of tornadoes, including two at one time, emerged from a compact supercell that passed just to the west of Oklahoma City. 94 mph (151 km/h) 0 Tornado outbreak sequence . Multi-vortex tornado, known for chasing storm chasers, that went on to become a long-lived EF3. Understandably, those in the region unaffected by the severe weather breathed a collective sigh of relief. Both supercells were very long-lived, one producing over 10 tornadoes, many significant and deadly. Foraged in Baltimore celebrates a few of the chefs favorite things, Colorful coconut truffles capture the Holi festivals hues and joy, These teriyaki-inspired salmon bowls are sticky, sweet and savory, nightmare scenario and a rare kind of event that may take many lives.. May 20: 2019: Oklahoma, Texas: 39 EF3. EF2 tornado, well-documented and heavily-studied by VORTEX2. The forecast seemed spot on. Considering that this was now occurring after the morning storms depicted in the models failed to develop, we started to worry that perhaps something was occurring in the atmosphere that the models didnt pick up on. Massive high-precipitation mothership supercell. EF3 tornado, part of a surprise outbreak of 24 tornadoes (up to EF3) produced by mini-supercells across northern IN and OH that went largely unforecast. A derecho that damaged over 850,000 acres of crops across eastern IA and destroyed over 1,000 homes in Cedar Rapids alone, where a gust of 126 mph was recorded nearby. They reported that roughly 75% of tornado warnings in the U.S. are false alarms. Ironically, caps can be key ingredients in explosive storm development too. Here's a picture from Cassie Colson of hail up to 5.5" inches in diameter, found in Wellington yesterday, after 3:30 pm. These points have certainly been noted by forecasters responsible for issuing Mondays 45 percent chance of tornadoes within 25 miles of a point. Take control of your data. Particularly photogenic tornado from LP supercell. A majority of the May 2019 tornadoes occurred over many of the Central Plains and Midwestern states in three multi-day events (May 17-18, May 20-22 and May 26-29). This did not actually happen! It never fails to perplex, confound and humble us, even when we think we have the smallest shred of understanding. Aside from the occasional burst of wind and clap of thunder, we don't exactly get much in the way of interesting severe weather. An outbreak of Violent tornadoes was expected. At least when Im chasing (and often when Im not), I stay up the night before to see the new day one outlook, issued at 1 am central time. #okwx #txwx #arwx #mowx #kswx pic.twitter.com/y2p1mNtrjV. As May 19th rolled on however, subsequent model runs across multiple high-resolution modeling platforms began to show considerable inter- and intra-model consistency in a solution similar to that initial HRRR forecast. Photogenic EF4 tornado, part of a large-scale tornado outbreak. Well have to wait for formal verification, but at first glance it appears the outbreak fell well short of reflecting these odds. It was on the ground for 20 miles and left devastation a half-mile wide. There was considerable haze and smoke in the air, some of it apparently related to smoke from wildfires in southern Mexico. may 20, 2019 tornado bust. Photogenic cold-core EF2 tornadoes occurring close to each other both in location and time, from two separate supercells. Home destroyed by EF3 tornado in Celina on May 27, 2019. Monday will offer plenty of material for review. We got into the hook of the storm and looked back at the mesocyclone south of Kirkland, Texas a spot that shouldve provided us with a perfect view of the tornado. An outbreak of tornadoes, some potentially long-track and violent, is expected today into this evening over portions of northwest Texas into western and central Oklahoma. Highly technical indexes such as supercell composite and significant tornado parameter were approaching extreme values. Not long after making our way into and out of town, the tornado dissipated as we continued to move east. 5 segundos ago 0 Comments 0 Comments Canadas only (particularly photogenic) EF5 tornado. Even so, the storm remained discrete and we just couldnt leave it in favor of other storms when it was in that environment. The tornado outbreak is expected to continue into the overnight period. @CSWRDOW #tTWIRL #okwx pic.twitter.com/sCquPobT48, Preliminary data from RaXPol of the Mangum, OK tornado yesterday. The only storm to produce was the storm in Southwest Oklahoma. Tornado outbreak sequence of May 15-20, 2017 - This was day 4 of the outbreak sequence. EF4 tornado from a cyclic supercell, part of MNs largest tornado outbreak on record. What a silly, unforced error. Infamous U.S. derecho that travelled 800 miles over 18 hours, killing 22 people and resulting in an estimated $2.9 billion in damage. Even as a storm chaser who actively wants to see high-end tornadoes, a day like May 20th, 2019 not living up to its expectations is a blessing. Additional cases will be added. Part of the 2011 Super Outbreak. 10:47 p.m.: What came out next blew us away: 45% hatched tornado probability from the Texas Panhandle extending east into Oklahoma. A particularly photogenic mothership supercell. It followed an EF4 tornado from the same supercell, and was followed from behind by an even longer-tracked EF3 tornado ongoing simultaneously from a different supercell. Particularly photogenic mothership supercell. Outflow storm modes dominate. Particularly photogenic low-precipitation barberpole supercell that later produced an EF3 wedge tornado that took a highly deviant northwest motion. As we had seen a few great tornadoes a couple days earlier on May 17th, we needed to celebrate with a storm chasing tradition: a steak dinner. The professionals are in a very tough position, having to carefully evaluate and balance two ends of a spectrum: miss a critical forecast for widespread, severe storms and many lives could be unnecessarily lost, vs. over-forecast an event and face criticism and potential loss of credibility for the next go-round. They also issued a Particularly Dangerous Situation (PDS) tornado watch for parts of Texas and Oklahoma. May 29, 2022 - A potentially potent day in Northeastern Nebraska in a showdown with the cap. Sign In. Sure enough, a chopper was reporting a large, multi-vortex tornado on the ground not a mile from our location. But there is nothing that gets chasers blood flowing like seeing the issuance of a high risk for tornadoes. Particularly photogenic tornadoes, part of a cold core tornado outbreak across eastern CO and western KS. Part of an outbreak of tornadoes across the central Plains. With relative ease considering the number of chasers we expected to see, we made it back out onto the main road. For example, the wealth of computer model runs issued before the event can be compared with data from special efforts like the TORUS field campaign, to figure out what the models did and didnt capture ahead of time. There was such a heightened sense of alert about the storms on Monday. If you were following the majority of meteorological messages leading up to Monday, dire warnings about an epic tornado outbreak were being conveyed. A local outbreak of well-documented and significant tornadoes. Dedicated meteorologists like those in the picture below recognized that level of alert for this event was warranted. Meteorologists @AriWeather and @bhensonweather explain what happened and why it was or wasn't a "bust": https://t.co/durkL9acaS pic.twitter.com/fZudyh2klN. What if we had had 5 of those yesterday in the warm sector? Prolific tornadic supercell producing 13 often-photogenic tornadoes (up to EF3), with three documented simultaneously, in a localized area. Many of meteorologists, including me, pursued weather because of hurricanes, storms or awe-inspiring observations. Some of the images of chaser traffic behind us are mind blowing. Long-lived and photogenic supercell that tracked across central MT. As bust was making it around social media, tornadoes, hail, and intense rainfall were still on the table for many people, and they needed to remain alert. Upon walking out, something became obvious: It was sticky, breezy and warm. PDS Tornado Watch # 199 is coming for Oklahoma. Rough calculations using 2 scan (~200 m above ground level) suggest a max rotational velocity of 50-60 m/s. Login . November 15, 2005: Madisonville, Kentucky, April 2, 2006: Marmaduke, Arkansas / Caruthersville, Missouri, March 28, 2007: Silverton / Jericho, Texas, April 24, 2007: Eagle Pass, Texas / Piedras Negras, CH, Mexico, June 23, 2007: Pipestone, Manitoba, Canada, February 5, 2008: Atkins / Clinton, Arkansas, February 5, 2008: Jackson and Clifton, Tennessee, August 7, 2010: Tyler, North Dakota / Doran, Minnesota, December 31, 2010: Fort Leonard Wood, Missouri, April 27, 2011: Philadelphia, Mississippi, April 27, 2011: Hackleburg & Smithville, Alabama, April 27, 2011: Tuscaloosa / Birmingham, Alabama, May 24, 2011: El Reno / Piedmont, Oklahoma, May 24, 2011: Chickasha / Newcastle, Oklahoma, May 19, 2012: Kingman / Harper Counties, Kansas, February 10, 2013: Hattiesburg, Mississippi, May 19, 2013: Lake Thunderbird / Shawnee, Oklahoma, April 27, 2014: Mayflower / Vilonia, Arkansas, May 18, 2014: Wright / Newcastle, Wyoming, April 9, 2015: Rochelle / Fairdale, Illinois, May 6, 2015: Amber / Bridge Creek / Norman, Oklahoma, June 5, 2015: Anton / Cope / Kirk, Colorado, June 22, 2015: Woodhaven Lakes / Sublette, Illinois, July 13, 2015: Nickerson / Hutchinson, Kansas, November 16, 2015: Plains, Kansas and Pampa, Texas, December 23, 2015: Holly Springs, Mississippi, May 9, 2016: Katie / Wynnewood / Sulphur, Oklahoma, May 24, 2016: Minneola / Dodge City, Kansas, June 2, 2017: Three Hills, Alberta, Canada, July 12, 2017: Mayville/ Buxton, North Dakota, June 28, 2018: Capitol, Montana / Camp Crook, South Dakota, July 8, 2018: Interstate 8 / Southwest Arizona, July 19, 2018: Bondurant, Marshalltown, and Pella, Iowa, September 21, 2018: Dunrobin / Gatineau / Ottawa, Ontario, Canada, October 2, 2018: Conneautville, Pennsylvania, December 1, 2018: Havana and Taylorville, Illinois, May 23, 2019: Canadian, Texas / Laverne, Oklahoma, September 10, 2019: Guernsey / Lingle, Wyoming, September 29, 2019: Champaign County, Illinois, March 2, 2020: Nashville / Cookeville, Tennessee, April 12, 2020: Bassfield / Soso, Mississippi, April 22, 2020: Madill / Springer, Oklahoma, August 7, 2020: Virden / Scarth, Manitoba, Canada, March 25, 2021: Greensboro / Centreville, Alabama, April 27, 2021: Truscott / Benjamin / Electra, Texas, June 10, 2021: Sidney, Montana / Alexander, North Dakota, July 14, 2021: Jewell Junction / Stanhope, Iowa, August 11, 2021: Mineral Point, Wisconsin, September 1, 2021: Mullica Hill, New Jersey, December 10, 2021: Monette, Arkansas / Mayfield, Kentucky, March 21, 2022: Round Rock & Elgin, Texas, March 22, 2022: New OrleansArabi, Louisiana, April 21, 2022: Rush Center & Offerle, Kansas, November 4, 2022: Clarksville, Texas Idabel, Oklahoma, a local outbreak in and around the Texas panhandle, series of particularly photogenic tornadoes, Pair of particularly photogenic tornadoes. Bob Henson is a meteorologist and writer at weather.com, where he co-produces the Category 6 news site at Weather Underground. All in all, the day underperformed breathtakingly and thats a good thing. We got well out ahead of the circulation and stopped to get out of the car and watch it approach. Meteorologists seemed awestruck at the tornado outbreaks potential, using terms such as nightmare scenario and a rare kind of event that may take many lives. And a horde of storm chasers converged on Oklahoma, with some hoping the day would bring the chase of a lifetime. EF3 tornado, part of the New Years Eve tornado outbreak. Since 2006, we've been out chasing every year save for 2018 when I was writing my Ph.D. dissertation. As if this wasnt enough, the SPC soon issued its first watch for right where we were sitting. Long-tracked EF4 tornado that killed 3 people as part of the largest November IL tornado outbreak on record. This was Level 5 out of 5, the high-risk category for a widespread, major severe weather outbreak that included large and destructive hail, destructive winds, and tornadoes, some potentially long-track and violent.. Some of the attributes pertaining to vertical distribution of instability were not well captured in our state-of-the-art prediction models. Often regarded as the gold standard for dust storms for the Phoenix area. Schools and colleges in central Oklahoma were closed for the day, not only out of safety concerns for the sheltering in place but also because of vulnerable bus routes. Neither RAP nor ERA5 will not perfectly represent the observed environment. Required fields are marked *. While tornadoes and other forms of severe weather did materialize in the threat area, the highly anticipated violence of extremely intense, widespread tornadoes did not. Monday, 20 May 2019 could be a higher-end severe weather day. Particularly cyclic, stationary supercell with reports of over 12 tornadoes (up to EF2) occurring in rapid succession, many simultaneously. MOORE, Okla. - Six years ago, a devastating EF-5 tornado hit Moore, killing more than 20 people, including children. Another strong wave will emerge from the low on Thursday, and a moist tropical air mass is in place to resurge northward, so our next major ramp-up in severe weather is likely to take shape from Texas to Kansas. ERA5 soundings are occasionally marked by an incongruent disconnect in the low-level thermodynamic profile. Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Long-lived, nearly stationary EF3 wedge tornado. If youre wondering how did this sounding do that?, remember to check for boundaries, cell mergers, and chaos! In addition, the May 2019 tornado production was persistent, as 28 of the 31 days in May had at least one tornado reported. Those not as sadistic wondered what we missed w/overforecasting in a results-based sense. After what seemed like an eternity, we started to see something emerge and come towards us a large, strong to violent multiple-vortex, white stovepipe tornado and it was close. One of the costliest severe thunderstorm events in U.S. modern history at an estimated $11 billion. The last time a 45% tornado outlook was issued was during the Tornado Outbreak in Oklahoma and Kansas on 14 April 2012. They (generally) dont just pop up out of nowhere, and with the rise of social media consequent with the popularization of storm chasing as a quasi-mainstream hobby, no big day goes unnoticed in the days leading up. Tornado outbreaks just feel different than other chase days. Indeed, as I was monitoring weather maps across the threat area, these factors did appear to materialize. While my passion in weather is undoubtedly tornadoes, it isn't quite where my formal expertise lies. After having it read to me just once, I was hooked. Long-tracked EF3 tornado near Plains, and two EF3 tornadoes, including one wedge tornado, in close proximity to Pampa. As noteworthy as the days severe weather was, it wasnt as extensive as what many short-range models had predicted, and it probably didnt match up with many residents expectations of more widespread calamity. 15:35 - Stronger cap = R.I.P. Long-lived EF2 tornado from an HP supercell with northwest flow. Part of the 2011 Super Outbreak. Particularly photogenic EF2 tornado, one of multiple (mostly EFU) produced by a few supercells. may 20, 2019 tornado bustview from my seat theatreview from my seat theatre EF3 tornado, part of an outbreak of tornadoes across MS and AL. EF3 tornado, largely regarded as a surprise event. Particularly photogenic supercell that produced an anticyclonic tornado amongst others. With at least 19 tornadoes, flooding on Interstate 40, and hail damage, how could this be a forecast bust? A Tweet by Michelle Lynn strongly resonated with me: For those calling it a bust, say that to my family who live in Mangum, OK. Luckily, they are ok, but that tornado was NOT A BUST. There was the unusual strength of the upper-level weather system, including jet stream winds. We need continued integration of technical and social science research as we have seen recently in the VORTEX-SE campaign. Such aerosols, which are not incorporated in traditional weather models, may affect the amount of heat absorbed or reflected at various heights and/or the microscale cloud physics driving the storms. the latest public statement about this event. My Ph.D. research focused on using numerical weather prediction models to characterize the predictability of extreme large-scale weather events. Two of 10 tornadoes produced by a cyclic supercell, part of an event with an eastern extent and intensity that was largely a surprise.. But at the same time, it left behind a sense of false alarm, ire that schools were needlessly shut down and a desire to better understand the sometimes fickle nature of weather prediction. Family of photogenic tornadoes, with twins at times. Search the case index below for cases by state, month, year, location, and other key info. A thin layer of warm air about two to three miles aloft flowed across the high-risk area from the deserts of northern Mexico and southwest Texas. I always default to the human responses before meteorological numbers. There was even a car accident between some chasers as traffic grinded to a near halt. We got south and ahead of a tornado warned storm near Paducah, Texas just as the first of what we expected to be multiple tornadoes touched down. I'll do it until the day I die. Widely-photographed cone tornado produced by nearly stationary supercell. One of several weakly-rated but photogenic tornadoes. Part of a High Risk event regarded by some as a bust due to a lack of intense tornadoes across Oklahoma. EF3 tornado that was largely unanticipated. Infamous EF5 tornado that killed 24 people. EF3 wedge tornado, also known as Bennington III. Particularly photogenic EF3 tornado with well-documented and mesmerizing sub-vortex dynamics. 0305: 6 N BALD HILL : OKMULGEE : OK: 3583: 9584: EMERGENCY MANAGER REPORTED A TORNADO. However, it is important to realize that storms are not entertainment or games. Particularly photogenic tornado, especially for the area. EF2 and EF3 wedge tornadoes from the same supercell. Being from NJ, we knew nothing about severe weather much less had the ability to chase it ourselves. Webuy car or home insurance with the intent of never having to use it. EF3 tornado that struck parts of metro New Orleans. Often regarded as the gold standard for recent dust storms for the west Texas area. Marsh showed atmospheric profiles collected on Monday from Norman, OK, and in the catastrophic 2011 Super Outbreak from Birmingham, AL, and reflected on how similar they were. . Particularly photogenic orange carrot tornado. That meant we needed to go to The Big Texan in Amarillo, which seemed like a good place to post up for the evening. Such events reveal a certain scientific giddiness coexisting with a sense of dread among meteorologists and weather enthusiasts. Photogenic UFO-like supercell that dealt a swath of wind-driven significant-severe hail. Also featured a rather large eye on radar at peak intensity. According to Edwards, Dedicated scientific forecasters are like best NFL cornerbacks: shake off previous blown coverage, be better next play, but learn from it in film room. Pair of photogenic tornadic waterspouts over Lake Michigan. Oklahoma record hailstone, measuring 6 inches. Pair of particularly photogenic tornadoes. From a meteorological perspective, was it a bust? A large, powerful low pressure system moved up across . Great seeing storms struggle around Oklahoma City today. This tornado outbreak was the state's costliest, clocking in around $2 billion. The Weather Companys primary journalistic mission is to report on breaking weather news, the environment and the importance of science to our lives. This story does not necessarily represent the position of our parent company, IBM. We sat in Childress for a couple more hours, waiting to see what the new SPC day one outlook set to come out at 1130 am would show us. Alas, we couldnt see a thing through a haze so dense that visibility was seemingly reduced to a hundred yards. Could be a little placebo effect, but I choose to believe its not. Photogenic and well-structured supercell. Often regarded as one of the greatest days of modern storm chasing. blockbuster store still open near haarlem. Certain artifacts are inevitable. I get it. 10:02 p.m.: . The most honest short answer is we dont know yet, but there are already a few clues. In the latter of the two, the feel was absolutely undeniable. Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. At times, there seems to be a disappointment factor if nothing happens, and there was preparation. On Monday May 20th, I personally watched tornado polygons illuminate my weather radar screen much of the day. EF3 tornado, highly-visible for the area and time of occurrence. But residents across Oklahoma and portions of Texas were led to anticipate the worst, as the National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center placed the region under the highest threat category of tornado outbreak. As the mid-level jet ejects northeastward across the southern High Plains this afternoon and evening, a tornado outbreak is likely across the southern Plains. EF3 tornado that killed 6 people. May 20, 2019 < May 19, 2019 May 21, 2019 > SVR Reports; Preliminary Reports: Obs and Mesoanalysis; Obs and Mesoanalysis: Upper-Air Analyses; 925 mb: 12z 00z: . But it was more than enough to get both my father and I hooked for life. One saving grace Marsh mentioned to me was the southward-surging pool of rain-cooled air from the day's early storms, which spread out ahead of the dryline-generated storms that eventually moved through late Monday night. Overcast skies limited surface heating. At 1.7 miles in width, the hit would prove unnecessarily excessive. Wedge tornado produced by high-precipitation supercell, with recorded winds up to 212 mph, though rated an EF2. Long-tracked, EF4 tornado, part of an outbreak of tornadoes across the central Plains. EF4 tornado, part of a localized outbreak of tornadoes. The Department of Children and Family Services announced Wednesday that as of March, recipients will no longer receive the extra pandemic-related benefits they've been getting since March 2020.. thomas reed vreeland jr. pseg long island hosting capacity map Particularly photogenic surprise tornado. clip. Long-tracked EF3 tornado, part of North Carolinas largest tornado outbreak on record. He spent many years at the National Center for Atmospheric Research and is the author of The Thinking Persons Guide to Climate Change and Weather on the Air: A History of Broadcast Meteorology.. As a meteorologist, I certainly understand that when verification statistics are done, this event likely falls short of some of the messaging metrics associated with outbreaks. From a meteorological perspective, was it a bust? Massive, long-lived, high-precipitation supercell that produced a few tornadoes and very large hail. 20 p.m. Two days prior on May 18th, the SPC issued a relatively rare Day three moderate risk, and re-upped the moderate risk the following day. One of the longest-lived tornadoes on record, lasting 2.5 to 3 hours, rated EF2 (though likely stronger), a wedge tornado from a high-precipitation supercell. Long-tracked EF4 tornado, part of a prolific QLCS that produced multiple intense tornadoes simultaneously. Two EF-4 tornadoes from separate supercells, killing 3 people. The tornado itself was examined by multiple mobile dopplers, each measuring extremely strong rotational velocities in the tornado just above the surface. EF2 tornado, part of an outbreak of tornadoes across north-central IL into OH. May 20, 2019 Tornado Mangum, Oklahoma. The long of it: Growing up in Maplewood, New Jersey, its hard to become obsessed with the most extreme weather on the planet. As the circulation was set to pass about a mile in front of us, we stopped on a hill to get a view of a rapidly rotating wall cloud complete with a strong rear-flank downdraft wrapping around it. 1/9 Those rooting for long-track tornadoes & destruction yesterday probably were wondering what went "wrong" with the forecast. Oklahoma City, OKNorman, OKLawton, OKEdmond, OKMidwest City, OK Tulsa, OKWichita Falls, TXBroken Arrow, OKEnid, OKMuskogee, OK Lubbock, TXAbilene, TXFort Smith, ARFayetteville, ARSpringdale, AR Dallas, TXFort Worth, TXBoston, MAArlington, TXWichita, KS New York, NYPhiladelphia, PABaltimore, MDWashington, DCKansas City, MO Oklahoma City, OKTulsa, OKLubbock, TXAmarillo, TXAbilene, TX Oklahoma City, OKNorman, OKEdmond, OKMidwest City, OKMoore, OK Lawton, OKStillwater, OKShawnee, OKDuncan, OKAda, OK Dallas, TXFort Worth, TXArlington, TXPlano, TXGarland, TX Colorado Springs, COWichita, KSWorcester, MASpringfield, MASpringfield, MO Oklahoma City, OKTulsa, OKAbilene, TXNorman, OKWichita Falls, TX Lubbock, TXAmarillo, TXMidland, TXOdessa, TXSan Angelo, TX Fort Worth, TXBoston, MAWichita, KSProvidence, RIWorcester, MA New York, NYPhiladelphia, PADallas, TXBaltimore, MDWashington, DC Oklahoma City, OKTulsa, OKNorman, OKWichita Falls, TXLawton, OK Lubbock, TXAmarillo, TXAbilene, TXMidland, TXOdessa, TX Dallas, TXFort Worth, TXArlington, TXWichita, KSPlano, TX New York, NYPhiladelphia, PABaltimore, MDBoston, MAWashington, DC Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table, May 20, 2019 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook. That first trip was in 2006 and was unforgettable even in a very forgettable year for storms. The forecast wasnt a total bust by any means. An event that was largely a surprise (especially in magnitude) until later in the forecast period. A 77-year-old grandmother was found stabbed to death in her own garage inside a gated community in an Atlanta suburb on Saturday. Several supercell thunderstorms developed . This page is a useful bookmark for past famous tornadoes, supercells, and other storms in the United States and Canada.